A new poll released over the weekend reveals that this election may not be as close as the Democrats had originally hoped.
The poll shows that President Trump has stormed ahead in front of his Democrat opponent Joe Biden in both national and battleground states.
Conducted by the Democracy Institute and commissioned by the Sunday Express newspaper, the survey shows Trump leading Biden 48 percent to 46 percent.
Even more crushing to Biden is the fact that Trump has opened up a larger lead in the ever-essential battleground states. This suggests that the President is on track to win 309 electoral votes – more than he did when winning the presidency in 2016.
“Crucially, President Trump has a lead of 48 percent to 43 percent in the swing states Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin which would put him back in the White House with an electoral college tally of 309 to Biden’s 229,” David Maddox, the political editor for the Sunday Express, wrote about his newspaper’s survey.
The poll has Trump leading in Florida 47 to 45 percent, leading in Minnesota 46 percent to 45 percent, and in New Hampshire 46 percent to 43 percent.
While the pandemic remains a prevalent issue, the majority of voters have enough foresight to look past it, and are eyeing someone who can help rebuild a wounded economy.
“The polling suggests Mr Trump is emerging as the race leader because of a belief he is best in handling the economy,” Maddox wrote. “With a third of voters putting the economy as the top election issue and 66 percent thinking that the economy is bouncing back after coronavirus, voters believe that Trump is better for the economy by 57 percent to 43 percent.”
Democracy Institute Director Patrick Basham is quoted as saying the survey data seems to demonstrate that Biden’s campaign may have “reached its high water mark.”
“Although Biden remains in a competitive race with Donald Trump, and may well do so until election day, his support isn’t growing,” Basham said.
“And, tellingly, almost all of the issues that matter most to voters are trending in President Trump’s favour. More Americans are concerned about the economy and keeping their current, or getting a new, job. They don’t especially blame Trump for the lockdown-induced economic contraction, and they think he’ll do a better job of righting the economic ship than Biden.”
Also, concerns over Biden’s cognitive decline are on the rise causing more people to say they might not vote for him because they are concerned that he may not be fit to lead.
“Concerns that Mr Biden may be suffering from the early stages of dementia are also increasingly boosting Donald Trump’s chances of victory in the Presidential election, a new poll has revealed,” Maddox wrote.
“According to this month’s poll 58 percent believe Mr Biden is suffering from cognitive decline compared to 55 percent last month. More worryingly for the former Vice President and Senator, is that 48 percent are less likely to vote for him as a result compared to 40 percent a month ago.”