Joe Biden’s falling poll numbers nationwide and in crucial swing states mean big trouble for Democrats in the 2022 midterms, says Democratic strategist Douglas Schoen. He reports they could suffer a total “blowout defeat.”
“President Joe Biden is in a very weak position compared to both of his Democratic predecessors —Clinton and Obama — at this time in their presidencies,” Schoen said in his op-ed in The Hill. “Which suggests that the party could have even greater losses in 2022 than they did in 1994 or 2010.”
Schoen was an adviser to Bill Clinton and helped Michael Bloomberg with this short-lived 2020 presidential campaign.
“Indeed, voters overall and in seven swing-states disapprove, instead of approve, of the work that President Biden is doing with a margin of 7-points or greater, according to a Civiqs poll published last week,” he said. “Across the nation, one-half of voters disapprove of Biden’s job as president, while only 42 percent approve it.”
Schoen stressed that Obama’s overall approval was 19 points greater than Joe Biden’s right now, and yet during the 2010 midterms, Democrats lost 64 seats in the U.S. House, and the GOP gained six Senate seats. Back in 1994, Democrats lost a total of 52 seats in the U.S. House, and the GOP gained eight Senate seats.
While there is still over a year before the upcoming midterms, Schoen said that “Democrats’ midterm defeats in the years 1994 and 2010 could be attributed mostly to their passage of huge spending and tax bills in the previous year.”
“The Democrats’ 1994 loss came after they forced through Congress the largest tax increase in America’s history at that time without any GOP support,” Schoen says. “And back in 2010, Dems lost because of voters’ perception of their ineffective economic stimulus, and the governmental overreach into healthcare and the economy by the White House and congressional Dems.”
History is now repeating itself as Dems are forcing a $3.5 trillion bill, which even Schoen says will not only bring huge tax increases, but also increase yearly deficits, inflation and the national debt. This, he thinks, will likely cause an “electoral backlash” larger than both 1994 and 2010.
Author: Blake Ambrose