Republican challenger Yvette Herrell narrowly leads Democratic Rep. Xochitl Torres Small in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District, one of the most hotly contested House races in the country, according to a poll conducted for the National Republican Congressional Committee and provided exclusively to the Washington Examiner.
The poll, conducted Sept. 26-29 by the Tarrance Group, found Herrell with 48% support from voters in the district and Torres Small with 47% support. Another 5% were undecided.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9% and surveyed 400 in the southern rural New Mexico district, which borders Mexico and stretches from the state lines of Arizona to Texas.
“There is still room and opportunity for growth for the challenger Herrell, as the generic ballot (read without names and only party labels prior to the named ballot test), had the Republican up four-points, 49% to 45%, over the Democrat,” a memo from the Tarrance Group said.
The race is a rematch between Herrell and Torres Small and one of Republicans’ best hopes of flipping a seat in their favor. The incumbent Democrat won the open seat in 2018 after former longtime Republican Rep. Steve Pearce unsuccessfully ran for governor in 2018 rather than seeking another term in the House.
Results indicating a razor-thin race are consistent with an Albuquerque Journal poll conducted Aug. 26 to Sept. 2, which found Torres Small with 47% support and Herrell with 45% support and 9% undecided.
Another Tarrance Group poll conducted in July found the race in a dead heat, with 46% support for each candidate and 8% undecided.
Author: Emily Larsen
Source: Washington Examiner: Republican challenger leads Democratic House freshman in New Mexico district: GOP poll